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banlist testing

Testing Hypergenesis: Quantitative Data

Testing Hypergenesis: Quantitative Data

March 2, 2021 – by David Ernenwein 0

Having finished the appetizer, it’s time for the main course: the data from my Hypergenesis test. This is the hard, quantitative data, and I’ve done statistics on them to determine the validity of the test. For the stats people out…

Underestimation Escalation: Umezawa’s Jitte

Underestimation Escalation: Umezawa’s Jitte

July 28, 2020 – by David Ernenwein 0

There are many old sayings about plans going awry. Even when it seems like everything lines up perfectly, there’s always a chance for something to go wrong. Throw in a global health crisis, and everything goes out the window. The…

Punishing Fire: Qualitative Results and Conclusion

Punishing Fire: Qualitative Results and Conclusion

May 21, 2019 – by David Ernenwein 3

Last week, I unveiled the first part of my Punishing Fire test. With the data compiled and revealed, it’s time for the less-concrete part. The data is the data and speaks for itself. However, that’s not the whole story. Magic isn’t…

Testing Punishing Fire: Quantitative Data

Testing Punishing Fire: Quantitative Data

May 14, 2019 – by David Ernenwein 5

And now it’s time for everyone’s favorite part of the banlist test: the experimental data. With 500 matches of Jund with and without Punishing Fire under my belt, I have developed a very strong opinion on unbanning the card. Today,…

Testing Punishing Fire: Experimental Setup

Testing Punishing Fire: Experimental Setup

May 7, 2019 – by David Ernenwein 2

The time has come to start rolling out the results of my latest foray into the Modern banlist. In the past, the return of this series was hailed with a public vote for which card I’d work on, followed by…

Green Sun’s Zenith Tests: Intangibles/Conclusion

Green Sun’s Zenith Tests: Intangibles/Conclusion

November 20, 2018 – by David Ernenwein 3

It is a common trap to look only to hard data when making decisions. After all, numbers are clear and unequivocal. However, they don’t tell the full story of the data. Confounding variables and intangible effects color the results and…

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Current metagame: 12/1 – 12/31

RankDeckMetagame %
1Grixis Shadow5.5%
2Burn5.4%
3Gx Tron5.2%
4Jeskai Tempo4.8%
5RG Valakut4.7%
6Eldrazi Tron4.6%
7Affinity4.5%
8Humans4.5%
9Gifts Storm4.4%
10Counters Company3.7%

NOTE: Metagame % is calculated from the unweighted average of all MTGO leagues, paper T8s/T16s, and GP/PT/Open Day 2s in the date range. Data is tracked in the Top Decks page, which you can browse for more details.

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